EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 13th November 2025 (S&P 500 6737.49 -133.43)
The stock market is on a roller coaster mode these days as conflicting news are driving daily moves. More and more governors of the Fed are becoming reluctant to lower interest rates at the last meeting of the year as the inflation rate is far away from the target of the famous objective of 2 %. Breadth closed very weak: 922 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 3470 declined. The Vix index jumped to 20, our daily trading sentiment index is back to 50 on a scale of 0 to 100. Surprisingly, active professional portfolios managers are still very bullish as the index measuring their exposure to the market bareyl moved from one week to the other at 87 (on a scale of 0 to 100). Our short-term trading model turned down-
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile: 56 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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