EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 17th January 2025 (S&P 500 5996.66 + 59,32)
Last week, the Treasury Secretary candidate Scott Bessant gave a reassuring speech to the investor’s community regarding the independence of the Fed, the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, inflation, productive investment, securing supplies chains, world trade and potential tariffs sanctions, etc…
This speech and some preliminaries corporate results gave a lift to the stock market that was, as we mentioned many times in our previous comments, quite oversold, especially on various momentum measures as some sentiment indicators were still reflecting too much optimism among various market participants.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile: 65 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
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