EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 16th March 2025 (S&P 500 6699.38 + 67,19)
The stock market rebounded somehow and seems to be stuck in a new trading range between 6600 and 6800 as market participants are watching closely the latest geopolitical developments and the fluctuations of crude oil prices. Internal momentum took a beating over the last two weeks, and the cumulative advance/decline line of the Nasdaq reached a new 5 years low, a bad omen. Options traders became more cautious as they are piling up on puts as measured by put/call ratios although we haven^t yet observed extreme readings.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile: 38 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day !
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