EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 15th January 2025 (S&P 500 6944.47 + 17,87)
The stock market advanced slightly but we noticed some conflicting signals: breadth closed positive: 2918 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 1538 declined but we observed some selling pressure as measured by our buying/selling index. Options traders were more eager than during the previous trading session to buy equities calls. Finally, the weekly survey among professional active portfolios managers continues to point out to a very important level of confidence among this category of investors as the index measuring their exposure settled ar 96 on a scale of 0 to 100. Some components of our short-term trading models have turned down.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 64 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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