EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 7th May 2025 (S&P 500 5631.28 + 24,37)
As expected, the Fed didn’t change its monetary policy as it stands on a wait and see mode regarding the consequences of the tariffs war on domestic inflation. The stock market is still digesting its recent gains as the recovery stalled and is working out its overbought status. Options traders are a little bit more eager to play the upside of the market as they are buying calls as measured by put/call ratios. 2484 stocks advanced, 1571 declined on the NYSE and it is worth noting that the closing Tick index continues to register strong rading: + 713, meaning that money is entering into the market at the closing bell, especially in index funds. The bull to bear ratio closed at 0,56, indicating a high level of skepticism among private investors
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 53 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
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