EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Tuesday 27th March 2025 (S&P 500 5921.54 + 118,7)
Over the last week, the stock market started a consolidation process that held well above the 200 days moving average of major indexes. Tuesday’s breadth was strong as 3528 stocks advanced, 653 declined. Options trading is back to the neutral level and active professional portfolios managers have become again very bullish as the index measuring their exposure climbed to 81 on a scale of 0 to 100. The state of near despair of many investors in April has ceded the place to, again, a high level of optimism among market participants, maybe a little bit too much as corporate profits are under pressure and the monetary policy is on hold for the time being.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 70 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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