EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 18th June 2025 (S&P 500 5980.87 -1.85)
The US central bank issued a cautious statement at the end of its regular meeting, preferring a wait and see attitude as the inflation linked to the impact of imports tariffs on domestic prices may push the price consumer index much above the long-term target. There is a good chance that the US monetary policy will stay unchanged until this fall.
The stock market is hovering below the 6000 mark as market participants are watching anxiously the geopolitical situation. This is confirmed in the options market by the surge of put/call ratios across the board as options traders are piling up on puts to protect their positions or to play the downside of the market. Breadth closed almost square on the NYSE as 2288 stocks advanced, 1800 settled down. The weekly survey among private investors points out to a certain degree of cautiousness among this category of investors as measured by the bull to bear ratio.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 61 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
OR