EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 12th September 2025 (S&P 500 6584.29 -3.18)
Over the last week, the stock market continued to creep higher as some corporate news (Oracle) lifted prices. Options trading closed neutral to greedy as options traders are piling up on calls. Private investors are slightly more cautious than the previous week as those adopting a bearish attitude increased to 50 %. This contrasts to the sentiment among professional active investors who are more positive than the previous week as the exposure index to the market increased to 86 (on a scale of 0 to 100) from 82 the previous week. The cumulative advance/decline lines on the Nasdaq and on the NYSE continues to be relatively lousy as the summer highs have not been surpassed. The month of September, for the time being is rather strong as prices are moving away from the 6000 level we identified as a strong support for a seasonal correction.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 68 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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