EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 25th May 2025 (S&P 500 7473.47 + 27,75)
The stock market continues to consolidate at a high level, expecting a quick resolution of the conflict in the Middle East. Most of our indicators are still overbought although they came back slightly last week to a more reasonable level. Nevertheless, as mentioned in our previous comments, internal momentum measured by various components slowed down recently and the participation to the upside is limited to some big cap stocks. Options traders continue to favor the upside of the market by buying calls. Fear has receded as measured by the Vix index that is back to 16,5.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 68 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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