EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 6th August 2026 (S&P 500 7709.96 -13.59)
Over the last two days, the stock market has consolidated Tuesday’s swift advance mainly explained, in our opinion by short covering and systematic traders that turned quickly their positions. Some macro indicators continue to point out to a tight available liquidity for the stock market (M2, savings rate, etc…) exacerbated by a surge of Credit Default Swaps of the maror hyperscaler (Meta, Oracle, Amazon, etc…) that have surged recently. Options trading is back to neutral as most of our indicators.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 52 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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