EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 30th July 2025 (S&P 500 6362,90 -7,96)
The Fed is still on hold and is going to continue to monitor the impact of tariffs on inflation. A September cut of the Fed funds may be postponed to a later date. Mr Powell mentioned in its comments that the US economy and employment are rather resilient mostly due to the fact that the workforce is declining, behind the lines it means that the US economy needs foreign workers, a clear criticism to Mr Trump’s immigration policy.
The stock market closed more or less unchanged: 1223 stocks advanced, 2902 declined on the NYSE. The weekly survey among private investors points out to an increase of market participants adopting a bullish attitude towards the future course of the market. The bull to bear ratio stands at 1,5 a rather optimistic stance from this category of investors. Options trading closed more or less neutral, the closing Tick index settled negative (-254) and the daily trading sentiment index is back to 64 on a scale of 0 to 100. The outstanding corporate results of Microsoft may fuel a further advance of the Nasdaq index.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 70 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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