EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 30th March 2026 (S&P 500 6343.72 -25.13)
The stock market is well entrenched in a downtrend as it is fluctuating, since the beginning of Mr Trump’s mandate, according to its contradictory’s daily assertions. Internal momentum continues its weak path as the list of stocks hitting fresh new lows conrinues to expand: 537 on the Nasdaq, 168 on the NYSE. Options traders are cautious as measured by put/call ratios, but no extreme readings have been recorded yet. The Vix index is hovering around 30, the daily trading sentiment index at the low end of its historic trading range at 18 (on a scale of 0 to 100) and the SKEW index around 140 which is, in our opinion, too high in these circumstances.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 34 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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