EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 26th March 2025 (S&P 500 5712.2 -64.45)
Major US stock indexes touched their respective 200 days moving average before falling back sharply. The technical picture of these charts is rather weak as the fundamentals are deteriorating rapidly due to an unnecessary trade war, to say the least, that is going to hurt major economies. Breadth closed negative: 1345 stocks advanced compared to 2804 that settled down on the NYSE. Options traders have started to protect their bets as measured by put/call ratios. The weekly survey among private investors points out to a bull to bear ratio that increased to 52 % from 33 %, a slight improvement but this category of investors is still cautious by historical standards.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 49 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
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