EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 31st July 2026 (S&P 500 7437.63 + 121,48)
The roller coaster continues in the stock market as huge up and down moves are observed among tech stocks (AAPL up, META down, chip stocks up, etc…). We learned yesterday that an important hedge fund, managed by Mr Leopold Aschenbrenner’s, was forced to sell all of its public stock holdings, mainly in the tech and AI sectors. It seems that Ken Griffin’s Citadel hedge fund reached a deal to buy the stocks. This puts into evidence the huge level of speculation that we are observing currently in the stock market and the level of leverage used by some market participants like hedge funds that finally induce an unusual volatilty. As mentionned this morning by a market’s commentator, the stock market has become bipolar and shyzophrenic…
At the end of the trading session, we observed a strong closing Tick index at + 915, this could eventually be due to short covering. The Vix index fell to 17 and options trading closed neutral to cautious. The exposure index of active market participants fell to 80 from 87 last week.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 37 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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