EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 6th November 2025 (S&P 500 6720.32 -75.97)
The stock market is back to test its 40 days moving average, a level that has provided a floor to prices throughout this year, will it break it? The next few trading days will provide the answer. Breadth settled lower: 1482 stocks advanced, 2887 declined. The Vix index jumped to 19,5, the closing Tick index at -354. The index measuring the exposure of active portfolios managers fell to 90 from 100 last week, still a high level of exposure that points out to a high degree of optimism if not complacency from this category of investors. In summary, the stock market is working out its overbought conditions but some of our indicators still have room for improvement.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 67 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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