EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 21st November 2025 (S&P 500 6602.99 + 64,23)
The S&P 500 recovered and closed above the 6600 marks after New York Fed President John Williams said interest rates could be cut at the next Fed meeting in December. The recent behaviours from various financial markets tend to indicate that the US monetary policy is actually too tight. On a seasonal basis, the stock market starts its year end rally just after Thanksgiving holidays, let’s watch closely the market over the next few days. Breadth closed on a strong note at the bell, the opposite move compared to Thursday as 3299 stocks advanced, 1096 declined. Internal momentum continues to be much weaker on the Nasdaq compared to the NYSE. Options trading closed neutral with an interest from options traders to purchase calls. The Vix index closed at 23 (previous day 26) as market participants are unsettled by the up and down moves of the last few days.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile: 45 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
OR
