EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 30th October 2026 (S&P 500 7580.07 -140.32)
The AI’s ecosystem is under pressure and the bubble surrounding this sector may well have burst. Beyond the fact that many heavily indebted companies may go bust, we may wonder if the big cap tech stocks, namely the so called hyperscalers, may start to underperform the bulk of the market after years of outperformance, time will tell. Friday’s rout may again open the door to the 7300-7400 support level on the S&P 500. We expect, finally, to observe an improvement across our indicators and especially the sentiment indicators that have been too complacent, in our opinion, during the last few months.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 42 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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