EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 17th June 2026 (S&P 500 7420.10 -91.25)
The bad news of the day for the financial markets is the announcement of a possible increase of the fed funds at the end of the summer. Although it may be incremental and symbolic, it is another signal that liquidity is getting tight and scarce. The stock market is back to where it stood at the beginning of the week and we observed some selling pressure as measured by our buying/selling index and the closing Tick index that settled at – 561. Options traders continue to be cautious as measured by put/call ratios; the opposite stance we observed a couple of weeks ago. Breadth settled negative: 1268 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 3324 closed negative. The weekly survey among private investors points out to a neutral view over the future course of the market.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 58 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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