EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 14th October 2026 (S&P 500 7718.94 -86.51)
We observed, during the trading session, an important sector’s rotation from cyclical and tech stocks towards defensive and financials stocks. This may mean that investors are looking for a safe haven in a period of potentially subdued economic growth. This observation is confirmed by the selloff in precious and strategic metals 1161 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 3538 declined, the Vix index jumped to 17 and options traders became more casutious as measured by put/call ratios. The sentiment among private investors is almost evenly splitted between bull (39 %) and bears (42 % of the respondants). Finally, Our short-term trading model has started to turn down.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 53 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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