EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 7th November 2025 (S&P 500 6728.8 + 8,48)
The S&P 500 broke intraday its 40 days moving average (6712,38) and hit 6631 at the lowest point of the trading session before rebounding and closing slightly up. Options traders became more cautious as measured by put/call ratios. Breadth settled slightly up: 2554 stocks advanced, 1784 closed down. The stock market, especially the Nasdaq is entrenched in a kind of silent bear market as the list of stocks hitting fresh new lows is expanding. This confirms our observation we mentioned many times in our previous comments regarding the weakness of the cumulative advance/decline lines on the Nasdaq and the NYSE. This morning Stock index futures are up as positive news regarding the reopening of the US administration emerged.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 64 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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