EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Tuesday 29th July 2025 (S&P 500 6370.86 -18,91)
The stock market closed slightly lower ahead of the Fed meeting. Interest rates are not expected to be lowered but some comments made by Mr Powell may be followed closely by the investor’s community. We observed, for the second time in a row, some selling pressure on the NYSE as measured by our buying/selling index. Options traders became a little bit more cautious as measured by put/call ratios. Breadth settled square (2108 stocks up on the NYSE, 2038 down). Two components of our short-term trading model turned down, a signal to watch as the model has been positive and up for many weeks in a row.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 72 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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