EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Tuesday 16th June 2026 (S&P 500 7511.35 -42,94)
Finally, a good news in these markets: crude oil prices (USD 76) are almost back to the start of the rally end of February (Usd 65). The S&P 500 gave up some of its Monday’s gains as some money exited the stock market as measured by the closing Tick index: -640. Breadth closed almost square: 2311 stocks advanced, 2192 declined. Options trading closed neutral to cautious and the Vix is back to almost the lows of the year at 16,4 as fear has receded recently. The stock market has entered into the May to October period when seasonally it is not producing exciting returns. Corporate results will be impacted during the 2nd and 3rd quarters by inflation and weak final demand from consumers.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 58 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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