EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 14th August 2026 (S&P 500 7785.76 -13,23)
The stock market closed a week of consolidation slightly down, after the recent strong run up. We observe that sentiment indicators have recently deteriorated: either put/call ratios or the weekly survey among active portfolios managers. The index measuring their exposure to the market has climbed back to 96 (on a scale of 0 to 100). Our ten-day oscillator based on the advance/decline has entered into the overbought area. Overall, our risk profile index is slightly overbought after having reached a low at 39 on the 31st of July.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 64 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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