EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 3rd june 2026 (S&P 500 7553.68 -56.1)
We have been following, for a long time, the price of Bitcoin as a reliable indicator of excess or tight liquidity in the financial system, and it has worked well. From a peak reached last year at more than Usd 120 M, the price of this cryptocurrencey fell to around Usd 63 M today, indicating, in our opinion, tight liquidity in the financial markets. Another sign of stress occurred yesterday as Partners Group, an important actor in the private equity markets, announced that it has started to restrain redemptions.
The stock market closed yesterday at the lows of the day, and it may have broken its upward trend and entered into a correction mode, let’s follow closely the patterns over the next few days! Breadth closed on a weak note as 1163 stocks advanced, 3408 declined. Equities put/call ratio are still trading in the red zone, and they correctly flag the risk lately.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 74 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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