EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 16th April 2026 (S&P 500 7041.28 + 18,33)
The stock market followed its recent recovery and closed again at a record high although breadth closed square: 2476 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 2011 declined. As mentioned in yesterday’s comment, the market is overbought by many measures, and a short-term correction/consolidation is more than welcome. Options traders are again betting on the upside of the market as they are buying calls, one of our put/call ratios entered the warning zone. The closing Tick index settled at + 638 as money continues to pour steadily in this market. The weekly index measuring the exposure of active professional money managers jumped, from one week to the other, to 79 (69) as this category of investors haven’t thrown out the towel during the recent selloff.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 61 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
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