EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Tuesday 4th August 2026 S&P 500 7736.52 + 136,02)
Traders pushed the button “risk on” as prices broke the 7600 level and accelerated fueld by systematiic traders that are relying on the same kind of trading model we have developed and whose components turned all together at the close the previous day. Options traders are following the move as appetite for calls grew suddenly as measured by put/call ratios. Breadth closed on a strong note as 3426 stocks advanced, 1196 declined. The closing Tick settled at + 604, a strong reading; in our opinion, it means that short sellers had to cover their bets in a hurry, especially on tech stocks battered recently. Finally, the weekly survey among private investors points out to a small increase of those adopting a bullish view over the future course of the market from one week to the other (31 % bulls, 42 % bears, 27 % neutral).
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 48 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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