EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 3rd August 2026 (S&P 500 7600.5 + 110,78)
The S&P 500 continued to recover to almost close at a new all-time high (the Dow Jones Industrials did) whereas the Nasdaq is lagging. Our short-term trading model has started to turn positive invalidating, at least for the time being, our objective at 7000. The options traders have started to play the upside of the market as measured by put/call ratios. Breadth closed on a strong note: 3348 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 1286 declined. There is a wide discrepancy between the cumulative advance/decline line on the NYSE (settling at the highs of the year) and the Nasdaq, lagging by a strong margin.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 44 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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