EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 4th June 2026 (S&P 500 7584.31 + 30,63)
Another sign that liquidity is constrained in this market: the price of gold and other precious metals has declined recently. The price of the yellow metal is hovering around its 200 days moving average, an important support market participants are watching closely. If it breaks the Usd 4400 level it may indicate that monetary policies are tight in a context of stagflation, a bad secenario for the financial markets and the economy.
The stock market, for the time being, remained buoyant as the Dow Jones Industrials index jumped to an all time high. Breadth was positive as 3057 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 1399 declined. Options traders are still very greedy as measured by put/call ratios and weekly surveys among professional active portfolios managers confirm that view with an exposure index at 87 on a scale of 0 to 100.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 76 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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