EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 8th December 2025 (S&P 500 6846.51 – 23.89)
The stock market started the week on a quiet note as prices fell slightly although breadth settled on a rather weak tone: 1486 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 2866 closed down. Options traders were more cautious than during the previous days as measured by put/call ratios. In this environment, it is quite disturbing to observe a tension on long dated bonds and the fall of 10 % over the last two months of the Dow Jones Utilities index, a proxy for the future direction of interest rates. The financial markets may consider that the US monetary policy is too tight and that liquidity in the financial system is rather scarce at the approach of the end of the year. The recent moves on the crypto market, we consider as a barometer of a tight or an expansive monetary policy may confirm this observation.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile: 64 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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