EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 12th June 2026 (S&P 500 7431.46 + 37,16)
Apparently, Iran and the USA are going to sign an intermediate deal this week that should bring some kind of statu quo without solving any long-term questions. Nevertheless, crude oil prices are back to their lowest level since the end of February and, this morning, stock index futures reacted positively. Our risk appraisal model improved last week although it didn’t even reach the neutral stance. Is the market going to trade in a somehow trading range until the end of the quarter, let’s see !
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 62 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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