EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Thursday 11th June 2026 (S&P 500 7394.3 + 127,31)
The stock market is knee jerking ahead of the first trading day of Space X as portfolios managers are dressing up their portfolios. The closing Tick index jumped to a strong reading of 798, confirmed by daily breadth: 3383 stocks advanced on the NYSE, 1244 declined. Options traders are relatively cautious as measured by put /call ratios. Active portfolios managers are still adopting a bullish view over the future course of the market as measured by the weekly survey among this category of investors. The index measuring their exposure stands at 79 on a scale of 0 to 100. Although our model is improving, there is still room until it flashes a buy signal.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 65 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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