EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Monday 13th July 2026 (S&P 500 7515.34 – 60)
Over the last two weeks, the stock market traded in a tight range with no clear direction as some sectors rotations induced a renewed bout of volatility. Our risk appraisal model is hovering around the neutral level, some worth to mention observations: money continued to pour into the stock market as the closing Tick index closed most of the time in the green zone, Breadth stayed steady as measured by daily data but also by observing the cumulative advance/decline line on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq. Finally, the weekly survey among private investors is neutral whereas the survey among active professional portfolios managers is still very optimistic.
Very short-term oscillator: positive
Short-term oscillator: positive
RVI trend: positive
Trend short-term (5 days): up
Trend mid-term (8 days): up
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 50 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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