EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Wednesday 25th March 2026 (S&P 500 6591,90 + 39,78)
The S&P 500 is hovering below the 6600 level and its 200 days moving average as investors are watching anxiously any diplomatic breathrough that seems quite remote as conditions for a peace deal from both sides seem very remote. Breadth closed fairly positive: 1937 stocks advanced, 824 declined. The weekly sentiment survey among private investors is fairly split between bulls, bears and those adopting a neutral stance, ideally, we would like to observe a surge of pessimism among this category of investors. The observation of the crude oil market is interesting as it is trading in backwardation, meaning that lower prices are priced in the future compared to now, a rare occurrence, an indication that the market thinks this current uplift in the oil price is transitory. Let’s continue to watch closely this market !
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: down
Risk profile index: 35 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day !
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