EMC Gestion de Fortune SA a développé, au fil des années, un modèle d’appréhension du risque sur le marché américain des actions baptisé : « Market pulse ». L’approche combine la finance comportementale, l’analyse des forces internes régissant l’offre et la demande, l’étude des cycles et des mouvements de prix. Ce modèle permet d’évaluer en permanence le risque global du marché sur une échelle de 0 à 100.
Friday 16th October 2025 (S&P 500 7659.44 -84.62)
Since early June, the S&P 500 has been trading in a tight range between 7400 and 7800, whipsawing but without clear trends. Retrospectively, this is what our model has been reflecting, sending no clear buy or sell signals. Nevertheless, beneath the surface, as mentioned many times in our comments, internal momentum has been extremely weak. The stock market closed the week on the lows of the week but without clear selling pressure as the S&P 500 approached the support level at 7600.
Very short-term oscillator: negative
Short-term oscillator: negative
RVI trend: negative
Trend short-term (5 days): down
Trend mid-term (8 days): down
Differential of trend: up
Risk profile index: 50 (scale of 1 (low risk) to 100 (high risk))
Have a nice day!
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